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December 3, 2022
Threat Journal is a weekly supplement to the
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WEEKLY THREAT AND ALERT ROUNDUP
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DHS Issues Nat'l Terrorism Advisory System Bulletin -  ALLOW IMAGES

DHS Issues Nat'l Terrorism Advisory System Bulletin
Letter Bombs at U.S. and Ukrainian Embassies

December 3, 2022
Between Nov 30 & Dec 1, the following related Flash SMS
messages were sent to AlertsUSA subscriber mobile devices:

11/30 - DHS issues new Nat'l Terrorism Advisory System bulletin warning U.S. remains in a heightened threat environment driven by multiple groups & actors. See email.

12/1 - USGOV interests across Europe on high alert flwg receipt of letter bombs at the US & Ukrainian embassies in Spain, along w other sites in country. Monitoring..

 
What You Need To Know

On Wednesday, AlertsUSA subscribers were notified of new National Terrorism Advisory System bulletin issued by the Department of Homeland Security warning the U.S. remains in a heightened threat environment.

Quoting the bulletin (line spaces added for clarity):

"Lone offenders and small groups motivated by a range of ideological beliefs and/or personal grievances continue to pose a persistent and lethal threat to the Homeland.

In addition, domestic actors and foreign terrorist organizations continue to maintain a visible presence online in attempts to motivate supporters to conduct attacks in the Homeland.

Threat actors have recently mobilized to violence, citing factors such as reactions to current events and adherence to violent extremist ideologies.

In the coming months, threat actors could exploit several upcoming events to justify or commit acts of violence, including certifications related to the midterm elections, the holiday season and associated large gatherings, the marking of two years since the breach of the U.S. Capitol on January 6, 2021, and potential sociopolitical developments connected to ideological beliefs or personal hostility.

Targets of potential violence include public gatherings, faith-based institutions, schools, racial and religious minorities, government facilities and personnel, U.S. critical infrastructure, the media, and perceived ideological opponents."

In addition (line spaces added for clarity):

"Some domestic violent extremists have expressed grievances based on perceptions that the government is overstepping its Constitutional authorities or failing to perform its duties.

Historically, issues related to immigration and abortion have been cited by prior attackers as inspiration for violence.

Potential changes in border security enforcement policy, an increase in noncitizens attempting to enter the U.S., or other immigration-related developments may heighten these calls for violence."

AlertsUSA urges readers to exercise caution and vigilance in the runup to the end-of-year holidays. For well over a decade, terrorist organizations such as Al Qaeda and the Islamic State have openly published dozens of terror tutorials and how-to guides for their followers. Most instruct the readers to focus on soft targets without secure perimeters and to consider the use of simple, easy to acquire weapons such as vehicles for ramming packed crowds distracted by joyful holiday activities and are not necessarily on alert for danger.

Examples of such an attack include:

If you are going to be out and about in public over the holidays, it behooves you to keep the ear buds in your pocket and to stay alert.

Letter Bombs at U.S. and Ukrainian Embassies

On Thursday, AlertsUSA subscribers were notified of a security increase at USGOV interests across Europe following the receipt of letter bombs at a number of locations across Spain, including the Prime Minister's Moncloa residence, Spain’s Defense Ministry, a European Union satellite center located at the Torrejón air base outside Madrid, the U.S. embassy and Ukrainian embassies in Madrid, and an arms factory in northeastern Spain that makes hand grenades used in the Ukraine war. One person was injured in the attacks.

On Friday, Czech police evacuated the Ukrainian consulate in the city of Brno after a suspicious parcel arrived there. A police spokesperson said the parcel, which was examined using an X-ray machine, resembled the letter bombs mailed in Spain. Spanish media reports each of the bombs contained a small amount of explosives and metal balls.

According to Ukraine's Foreign Ministry, at least seven Ukraine embassies also received "bloody parcels" containing animal eyes and other body parts.

No one has claimed responsibility for the letter bombs or parcels and authorities have not released information about possible suspects.

AlertsUSA continues to monitor the domestic and international threat environment around the clock and will immediately notify service subscribers, via SMS messages to their mobile devices, of new alerts, warnings and advisories or any developments which signal a change the overall threat picture for American citizens as events warrant.


AlertsUSA.com

SMS ALERTS FROM THIS WEEK
NOT DETAILED IN THIS NEWSLETTER ISSUE

11/28 - US Embassy China issues alert warning PRC has expanded COVID-19 control measures to include residential quarantines, transport lockdowns, etc.. More via email.

11/28 - US Embassy El Salvador issues alert following eruption of Chaparrastique volcano. Follow local authorities, notify friends and family of your safety. See email.

11/29 - US Embassy China issues alert warning PRC enforcing strict COVID control protocols. Advises postponement of non-essential travel to and within China. See email.

 
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German support delivered to Ukraine includes 30 Flugabwehrkanonenpanzer Gepard SPAAGs (Self-Propelled Anti-Aircraft Gun). - ALLOW IMAGES

Ukraine War Update+

As of December 3, 2022
What You Need To Know

According to the Institute for the Study of War:

Russia is attempting to capitalize on the Western desire for negotiations to create a dynamic in which Western officials feel pressed to make preemptive concessions to lure Russia to the negotiating table. Russian President Vladimir Putin held an hour-long telephone conversation with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz on December 2 in which Putin falsely stated that Western financial and military aid to Ukraine creates a situation in which the Ukrainian government outright rejects talks between Moscow and Kyiv and called upon Scholz to reconsider Germany’s approach regarding developments in Ukraine. Scholz stated that any diplomatic solution to the conflict in Ukraine must include the withdrawal of Russian forces from Ukrainian territory. The Putin-Scholz call corresponded with a diplomatic overture from US President Joe Biden on December 1 in which Biden stated that he is prepared to speak with Putin if the Russian president is looking for a way to end the war, although Biden acknowledged that he has no immediate plans to do so.

According to the UK Ministry of Defense:

Russian forces continue to invest a large element of their overall military effort and firepower along an approximately 15km long sector of entrenched front line around the Donetsk Oblast town of Bakhmut. [Expand the map below]

Russia’s plan is likely to encircle the town with tactical advances to the north and south. In recent days, Russia has highly likely made small advances on the southern axis of this assault, where it is seeking to consolidate limited bridgeheads to the west of the boggy ground around the minor Bakhmutka River.

Russia has prioritised Bakhmut as its main offensive effort since early August 2022. The capture of the town would have limited operational value although it would potentially allow Russia to threaten the larger urban areas of Kramatorsk and Sloviansk. However, the campaign has been disproportionately costly relative to these possible gains. There is a realistic possibility that Bakhmut’s capture has become primarily a symbolic, political objective for Russia.

Click to Enlarge - Ukraine conflict map as of December 3, 2022. - ALLOW IMAGES

North and South Korean flags overlaid with a radiation symbol. - ALLOW IMAGES

Commentary / Analysis / Research

December 3, 2022

Blame N. Korea And China If S. Korea Builds Nuclear Weapons

China had a choice. As North Korea’s patron since that country’s terrible famine in the late 1990s, China had the leverage to push North Korea to negotiate on nuclear weapons. It could have cracked down on North Korean money in Chinese banks, desperately needed energy imports, or sanctions violations. Beijing chooses not to do that. South Korea signaled its non-nuclear preferences again and again for thirty years. Yet still, China chose not to push North Korea very hard. And North Korea chose to gimmick negotiations for decades to buy time to develop its nukes.

So now, with South Korean cities extremely vulnerable to North Korean nuclear attacks, is it any wonder the South Koreans are thinking of counter-nuking?

~ READ MORE HERE (1945) ~

Preliminary Lessons in Conventional Warfighting
from Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine

The full-scale invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022 has provided an invaluable opportunity to assess the capabilities of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation (AFRF) and the implications of a range of capabilities for modern warfare.

Many publicly made judgements on these issues have lacked supporting data or insight into Ukrainian operational planning and decision-making. To ensure that those drawing lessons from the conflict do so from a solid foundation, this report seeks to outline key lessons, based on the operational data accumulated by the Ukrainian General Staff, from the fighting between February and July 2022. As the underlying source material for much of this report cannot yet be made public, this should be understood as testimony rather than as an academic study. Given the requirements for operational security, it is necessarily incomplete.

~ READ MORE HERE (Royal United Services Institute) ~

The Rise And Fall Of The Pentomic Army

The use of nuclear weapons, like any escalatory action in war, is wrought with uncertainty. Wars have a way of spiraling out of control. The use of a so-called “tactical” nuclear weapon in Ukraine would carry with it grave and unknowable consequences, furthering Russia’s status as international pariah at a minimum — and the outcomes are uncertain. The pentomic era also suggests that an ill-trained military will struggle to exploit or take advantage of a nuclear strike, raising further questions about the efficacy of any such action. The specter of nuclear conflict has returned to Europe. However, when looking back at lessons from the past, the logic underpinning nuclear use is suspect at best.

~ READ MORE HERE (War On The Rocks) ~


Fleet and Marine Tracker Map as of Nov 28, 2022.  - ALLOW IMAGES
 
USNI Fleet and Marine Tracker
November 28, 2022

These are the approximate positions of the U.S. Navy’s deployed carrier strike groups and amphibious ready groups throughout the world as of Nov 28, 2022 based on U.S. Navy, public data provided by the U.S. Naval Institute, and open source reporting.


Air Force Capt. Coleen Berryhill flies near a formation of B1-B Lancer and A-10 aircraft above the Philippine Sea, Nov. 9, 2022. - ALLOW IMAGES
 
World News Roundup
December 3, 2022

AMERICAS

FBI director raises national security concerns about TikTok
U.S. sanctions 3 people following string of North Korean missile launches
Honduras declares state of emergency as MS-13 holds country hostage
ICJ declines to issue decision in Chile-Bolivia river dispute
CIA telling disgruntled Russians ‘we’re open for business’
P-8 Poseidon can now drop winged torpedoes in combat
San Francisco approves police proposal to use potentially deadly robots
Active school shooter hoaxes becoming a national trend
Landslide leaves at least two dead and dozens missing in Brazil

EUROPE

Lavrov says Russia, China stepping up military cooperation
Kyiv sees no prospect of a ceasefire with Putin's Russia anytime soon
NATO doubles down on pledge to eventually admit Ukraine
Ukraine war: The surrender hotline for Russian soldiers
Ukraine sacks engineer accused of collaborating at occupied nuclear plant
How Hungary used citizens’ covid data to help the ruling party
Russian, Chinese bombers land at Each other’s airfields after joint patrols
Pentagon: China's nuclear arsenal to more than triple by 2035
Ships linked to Russia’s biggest grain exporter moved stolen Ukrainian cargo
Russia's Medvedev warns NATO over supplying Ukraine with Patriot systems
Russia planned to attack Japan in 2021: Leaked FSB letters
EU accuses US of PROFITEERING from Ukraine war through arms sales
British jet tracks Russian units in occupied Ukraine
Russia increases number of aircraft at Engels airfield
Huge increase in number of American submarines in Scotland
Ships linked to Russia’s biggest grain exporter moved stolen Ukrainian cargo

MIDDLE EAST / AFRICA

WHO says still doesn't have full access to Ethiopia's Tigray
Nigeria reports fresh attack on election office in southeast
Iran accused of stealing bodies of slain protesters Rise in Iranian assassination, kidnapping plots alarms Western officials
Two Palestinian fighters killed in Israel West Bank raid
Kagame accuses Tshisekedi of using eastern DRC crisis to delay elections
Nigerian President: Ukraine war funneling arms, fighters into lake Chad basin
Rwanda sends more troops to Mozambique
Ivory Coast trial opens for 18 accused in Grand Bassam beach attack
Tshisekedi using Congo crisis to delay elections: Kagame

ASIA

2 Chinese, 6 Russian warplanes enter S. Korea's air defense zone
Dept. of Treasury sanctions multiple North Korean individuals
India-US drill violates spirit of pacts for border peace, sa ..
Jiang Zemin, former Chinese president, dies at 96
Asian faiths try to save swastika symbol corrupted by Hitler
Japan holds interceptor drill near nuke plant amid N. Korea threats
Apple disabled comms tool in China just before major protests broke out
Private Japanese lunar lander attached to US rocket to be launched
Explosion in northwest Pakistan coal mine kills 9, injures 4
Churches call for Pacific-wide boycott over West Papua

PUBLIC HEALTH

Claim: Military hiding increases in cancer, myocarditis, & vaccine injuries
Rigorous international study of N95 masks upends federal COVID narrative
WHO renames monkeypox as mpox, citing racism concerns
'Zombie' virus reanimated after 50,000 years in Siberian permafrost
Current state of knowledge on the excretion of mRNA and spike [...]
US avian flu outbreak worst on record with 50 million dead birds
33,000 Australians will have their COVID penalties returned
FDA plans to allow more gay, bisexual men to donate blood


Peak Prosperity with Dr. Chris Martenson.

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Travel Security Resources

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The U.S. Dept. of State Travel Website is the authoritative federal source for information on the security situation at travel destinations worldwide. With tensions rapidly increasing in most regions, readers planning international travel, even to such common destinations as Canada, Mexico or the Caribbean Islands, are strongly encouraged to research on the security situation at your destination prior to departure.

Active USGOV Travel Notices
Worldwide Caution


Active USGOV Travel Advisories
Alphabetical Country List
Dynamic Map



Other USGOV Travel Resources
Traveler's Checklist
Smart Traveler Enrollment Prog (STEP)
Travelers with Special Considerations
Travel to High-Risk Areas
Faith-Based Travel Information
Information for Women Travelers
Cruise Ship Passengers
Students Abroad
Your Health Abroad
Driving and Road Safety Abroad

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The Department of State’s Overseas Security Advisory Council (OSAC) provides a variety of resources to enhance the safety and security of the U.S. private sector businesses and organizations operating abroad.

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The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention website is the authoritative federal source for information on current health issues related to specific destinations worldwide. These issues may arise from disease outbreaks, special events or gatherings, natural disasters, or other conditions that may affect travelers’ health.

 

Foreign Sources of Travel Guidance

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