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November 19, 2022
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Missile Strike In Poland Renews Spillover Fears. -  ALLOW IMAGES

Missile Strike In Poland Renews Spillover Fears

November 19, 2022
On November 15th, the following Flash SMS
message was sent to AlertsUSA subscriber mobile devices:

11/15 - Russian missiles have landed in Przewodow, Poland, killing at least two and causing large power outage in Moldova. Urgent NATO security meetings underway.

11/15 - State Dept issues security alert warning U.S. citizens of a continued heightened threat of missile attacks across Ukraine, incl Kyiv Oblast. More via email.

 
What You Need To Know

Early Tuesday afternoon, AlertsUSA subscribers were notified of a missile strike in the Polish village of Przewodów, located four miles west of the Ukrainian border. The Polish foreign ministry confirmed the strike, which killed two workers at a grain processing site, cut power to large portions of tiny Moldova, and raised concerns across Europe of a dangerous escalation in the conflict.

Such a missile strike would mark the first time in the war that Russian munitions have impacted within a NATO country. Readers are reminded that under Article 5 of the NATO treaty, “an attack against one ally is considered as an attack against all allies,” thus raising the prospect that Poland’s fellow NATO members may be obliged by treaty to come to its defense.

Map of the border region of Poland and Ukraine. The marker identifies the location of the town of Przewodów where a deadly missile strike occurred. - ALLOW IMAGES

A short time later AlertsUSA subscribers were notified of a security alert issued by the U.S. State Department warning U.S. citizens of a continued heightened threat of missile attacks across Ukraine, including in the capital.

On Wednesday, an emergency meeting was held by the North Atlantic Council, NATO's main decision-making body, to discuss Tuesday's missile strike in eastern Poland.

Addressing the media following that meeting, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg stated the following:

"An investigation into this incident is ongoing, and we need to await its outcome.

But we have no indication that this was the result of a deliberate attack. And we have no indication that Russia is preparing offensive military actions against NATO."

"Our preliminary analysis suggests that the incident was likely caused by a Ukrainian air defence missile fired to defend Ukrainian territory against Russian cruise missile attacks."

"But let me be clear. This is not Ukraine's fault. Russia bears ultimate responsibility, as it continues its illegal war against Ukraine.

Watch the press conference HERE (Timestamped)

Also on Wednesday, Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin and Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Mark Milley chaired the 7th meeting of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group, a gathering of more than 50 nations and organizations providing arms, training and other support to Ukraine.

In comments to the press following that meeting, General Milley stated the following:

"While assessments are ongoing, yesterday's strikes looked like they launched at least 60 missiles and they may have launched upwards of 90 or even perhaps 100, and we'll have better assessments in the days ahead. But it was likely the largest wave of missiles that we've seen since the beginning of the war."

"These missiles, again, they targeted intentionally and damaged civilian power generation facilities to cause unnecessary suffering with the civilian population. We assess now that over a quarter of Ukrainian civilians are without power."

"The deliberate targeting of the civilian power grid, causing excessive collateral damage and unnecessary suffering on the civilian population, is a war crime. With the onset of winter, families will be without power, and more importantly, without heat. Basic human survival and subsistence is going to be severely impacted and human suffering for the Ukrainian population is going to increase."

Watch the press conference HERE (Timestamped)

In related news:

Former Russian President, Prime Minister and current deputy chairman of the country's powerful Security Council, Dimitry Medvedev, went on a social media tirade on Wednesday of this week, calling proposals to prosecute Russia for war crimes “legally void,” and any attempts to do so would “potentially threaten the existence of mankind.” He went onto say that the idea of ​​punishing a country that has major nuclear potential is "absurd in itself.”

Medvedev also argued that Russia should not be held accountable for slaughtering thousands of civilians in Ukraine because the U.S. military did the same in Afghanistan, Syria, Vietnam and elsewhere.

AlertsUSA continues to monitor the domestic and international threat environment around the clock and will immediately notify service subscribers, via SMS messages to their mobile devices, of new alerts, warnings and advisories or any developments which signal a change the overall threat picture for American citizens as events warrant.


AlertsUSA.com

SMS ALERTS FROM THIS WEEK
NOT DETAILED IN THIS NEWSLETTER ISSUE

11/12 - Shallow M6.4 earthquake, 95 km SSW of Concepción, Chile (offshore). Tsunami not expected. AlertsUSA monitoring for damage reports.

11/12 - Vehicle plows through Historic South-Central Carnival, E. King Bl & S. Trinity St, Los Angeles, CA. At least six injured. AlertsUSA monitoring..

11/13 - 5 dead, 36 injured in explosion on historic Istiklal Street in Istanbul, Turkey. Blast location near Consulate General of Russia. US Embassy alert forthcoming.

11/13 - Univ of Virginia Charlottesville reports "active attacker" w firearm on north side of campus. School alerts all students to run, hide, or fight. Monitoring.

11/14 - UVA Charlottesville PD: Shooting suspect remains at large, considered armed & dangerous. Cont to shelter in place. Reach out to friends & family re your status.

11/14 - UVA police confirm the arrest of a suspect in last night's campus shooting incident that resulted in at least 3 deaths and 2 injuries. School lockdown lifted.

11/16 - Shallow M5.3 earthquake, 90 miles WSW of Odessa, TX. AlertsUSA monitoring for damage reports.

11/16 - 12+ critically injured after a vehicle drove thru group of sheriff recruits on training run in Whittier, CA. Possible deliberate act. Driver in custody.

 
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Ukraine War Update+

As of November 18, 2022
What You Need To Know

According to the Institute for the Study of War:

Russian officials are preparing for further covert mobilization efforts even as the fall conscription cycle is underway, likely further flooding the already overburdened Russian force generation apparatus in such a way that will be detrimental to the development of mobilized and conscripted servicemen. Russian Telegram channels actively discussed indicators on November 18 that the Kremlin is preparing for a second mobilization wave and circulated an image of a draft summons received by a citizen of St. Petersburg who was reportedly told to appear for mobilization in January 2023 despite Russian President Vladimir Putin’s announcement of the formal end of partial mobilization on October 31.

According to the UK Ministry of Defense:

Following the withdrawal of its forces from west of the Dnipro River, Russian forces continue to prioritize refitting, reorganization and the preparation of defenses across most sectors in Ukraine.

Units have constructed new trench systems near the border of Crimea, as well as near the Siversky-Donets River between Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts.

Some of these locations are up to 60km behind the current front line, suggesting that Russian planners are making preparations in case of further major Ukrainian breakthroughs.

It is likely that Russia will attempt to eventually redeployed some of the forces recovered from Kherson to reinforce and expand its offensive operations near the town of Bakhmut in Donetsk Oblast.

Click to Enlarge - Ukraine conflict map as of November 19, 2022. - ALLOW IMAGES

Russian Arctic Strategy and NATO Enlargement - ALLOW IMAGES

Commentary / Analysis / Research

November 19, 2022

Russian Arctic Strategy and NATO Enlargement

Due to Russia's invasion of Ukraine, Sweden and Finland submitted official applications for admission to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) on May 18, 2022. Once they gain full membership, the security architecture in Europe will significantly change, and the existing geopolitical landscape in the wider Arctic region will also be transformed.

Aware of this, Russia has announced that it will respond accordingly. By analyzing the content of various sources, it becomes apparent what challenges Moscow might face and how it could react. These challenges are diverse, and so are the possible answers to them. They will depend on several important factors: further activities of Finland and Sweden, first on the military front; the development of the situation in Ukraine; and the unfolding of the crisis in the Kaliningrad region located on the coast of the Baltic Sea.

~ READ MORE HERE (Defence Horizon Journal) ~

What To Know About The Future Of Taiwan-China Tensions

Last year, U.S. Admiral Philip Davidson, then-head of Indo-Pacific Command, informed a Senate committee that China will have acquired the capacity to take Taiwan by force by 2027.

Others think the invasion could come faster. The former naval commander of Japan’s Maritime Self Defence Force stated recently that China is likely to invade Taiwan within five years unless Canada and other Western allies band together to send tough economic and military warnings to Beijing.

~ READ MORE HERE (Globe and Mail) ~

Nuclear Rhetoric Escalation And Risks Of Miscalculation In Ukraine

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has exposed how close a nuclear escalation, or a nuclear war can be. While the majority of military, intelligence, and nuclear weapons’ observers believe that the use of a tactical nuclear weapon by Russia remains incredibly unlikely, they also agree that a further escalation of the war could lead to unpredictable developments. Most importantly, potential nuclear weapons use in Ukraine is just one of the nuclear dangers that we should be concerned about.

~ READ MORE HERE (Barcelona Center) ~


Fleet and Marine Tracker Map as of Nov 14, 2022.  - ALLOW IMAGES
 
USNI Fleet and Marine Tracker
November 19, 2022

These are the approximate positions of the U.S. Navy’s deployed carrier strike groups and amphibious ready groups throughout the world as of Nov 14, 2022 based on U.S. Navy, public data provided by the U.S. Naval Institute, and open source reporting.


An Air Force F-15C Eagle receives fuel from a KC-135 Stratotanker over South Korea, Nov. 4, 2022. - ALLOW IMAGES
 
World News Roundup
November 19, 2022

AMERICAS

Student suspect in custody after 3 football players shot at UVA
Wrong-way driver crashes into 25 police recruits out for a run
Biden says China must try to prevent a North Korea nuclear test
U.S. scrambles to reassure Ukraine after Milley comments on negotiations
Intel community sounds alarm about UAE’s US meddling
NSA opens up to outsiders in fight for cybersecurity
Man with ax, sword requested entry into New York Times newsroom
Open Flood Gates: Judge rules COVID-era border expulsion order unlawful
Chinese spy sentenced to 20 years in federal prison
Pompeo underlines China's role behind North Korea's nuclear program

EUROPE

Istanbul: Six dead, dozens wounded in Turkey explosion
US, Russian spy chiefs meet on Moscow nuclear threat
Russia threatens commercial satellites providing support to Ukraine
Russia braces for Ukraine to attack Crimea following liberation of Kherson
Sweden: Explosive residue found at site of Nord Stream explosions
5 aircraft carriers set to operate together in NATO exercise
Ukraine war: 10 million without power after Russian strikes
Biden disputes Zelenskyy's claim the missile was not Ukrainian
German army accidentally issues uniforms with 'SS' labels
Zelensky: Many corrupt officials fled country after Russia invaded
Russian rally urges Putin to strike US with nuke-capable Satan II missile
U.S. confirms talks with Russia in Turkey on nuclear war risk, not Ukraine
NATO battle group in Latvia could beat back Russian attack
US: Russia failed to achieve strategic military objectives in Ukraine

MIDDLE EAST / AFRICA

IAEA chief: There is Iranian nuclear activity we know nothing about
Turkey rejects U.S. condolences over deadly attack in Istanbul
UN extends Somalia arms embargo amid government dissatisfaction
South African civil servants to strike over wages
Nigerian soldier kills aid worker, injures UN helicopter pilot
Germany to end participation in UN peacekeeping mission in Mali
Equatorial Guinea leader Obiang, 80, seeks to extend 43-year rule
Ebola vaccine candidates to be shipped to Uganda next week
Sudanese official says 48 killed in tribal clashes in Darfur

ASIA

North Korea fires missile after threatening ‘fiercer’ step
Kim inspects H-17 ICBM test launch, declares all-out nuclear response
N.Korea announces successful launch of new ICBM
North Korea's Kim Jong Un threatens nuclear response to US and allies
Milley: China won’t be able to attack Taiwan in near future
USAF in Japan urges personnel to take cover as N. Korea fires missile
Kazakhstan says coup bid foiled ahead of presidential election
China's Xi rebukes Canada's Trudeau over 'leaks to media'
Xi looks away from Putin toward West in world stage return
Sri Lanka urged to drop terror charges for 2 protest leaders
Myanmar releases 4 foreigners in broad prisoner amnesty

PUBLIC HEALTH

G20 pushes vaccine passports for all future int'l travel
Taiwan vaccine deaths now exceed Covid deaths…
Italy's Deputy Health Minister: No proof COVID vaccines work
Australian health officials reject 3rd COVID booster for all ages
Biden threatens veto on end to COVID emergency…
COVID-19 vaccine triggered rejection in lung transplant recipients
S. Korea confirms additional highly pathogenic bird flu case


Peak Prosperity with Dr. Chris Martenson.

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Travel Security Resources

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The U.S. Dept. of State Travel Website is the authoritative federal source for information on the security situation at travel destinations worldwide. With tensions rapidly increasing in most regions, readers planning international travel, even to such common destinations as Canada, Mexico or the Caribbean Islands, are strongly encouraged to research on the security situation at your destination prior to departure.

Active USGOV Travel Notices
Worldwide Caution


Active USGOV Travel Advisories
Alphabetical Country List
Dynamic Map



Other USGOV Travel Resources
Traveler's Checklist
Smart Traveler Enrollment Prog (STEP)
Travelers with Special Considerations
Travel to High-Risk Areas
Faith-Based Travel Information
Information for Women Travelers
Cruise Ship Passengers
Students Abroad
Your Health Abroad
Driving and Road Safety Abroad

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The Department of State’s Overseas Security Advisory Council (OSAC) provides a variety of resources to enhance the safety and security of the U.S. private sector businesses and organizations operating abroad.

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The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention website is the authoritative federal source for information on current health issues related to specific destinations worldwide. These issues may arise from disease outbreaks, special events or gatherings, natural disasters, or other conditions that may affect travelers’ health.

 

Foreign Sources of Travel Guidance

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Take Advantage of These Resources

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