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Sept 30, 2023
A weekly supplement to the AlertsUSA
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WEEKLY THREAT AND ALERT ROUNDUP
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"Unprecedented" Serbian Military Buildup Near Kosovo
Danger of a Second War in Europe

Sept 30, 2023
 
What You Need To Know

The US and NATO are monitoring a large Serbian military deployment along the border with Kosovo that has been taking place over the past week. According to National Security Council spokesperson John Kirby, the deployment includes an "unprecedented staging of advanced Serbian artillery, tanks, and mechanized infantry units. We believe that this is a very destabilizing development." He added: "We are calling on Serbia to withdraw those forces from the border and to contribute to lowering the temperature."

New clashes broke out last weekend when dozens of heavily armed Serb gunmen ambushed a police patrol a few miles from the Serbian border. This was followed by the insurgents barricading themselves inside of a Serbian Orthodox monastery with the priests and visiting pilgrims. A 12-hour shootout followed, leaving one police officer and three attackers dead.

According to Kirby, the attack had a "very high level of sophistication", involving around 20 vehicles, "military-grade" weapons, equipment and training. "It's worrisome. It doesn't look like just a bunch of guys who got together to do this."

NATO, which leads the KFOR international peacekeeping mission, announced Friday that it had “authorized additional forces to address the current situation” in Kosovo. These new troops would be in addition to the 500 added in June during earlier clashes.

On Friday, Britain's Ministry of Defence transferred command of an army battalion to NATO so it can provide support in Kosovo if required.

Readers are reminded that Kosovo and Serbia lie in a region of Europe known as the Balkans which is made up of countries that were once a part of the Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia. Kosovo, a former province of Serbia, declared Independence in 2008 and is currently recognized as an independent country by ~100 nations including the U.S. and a number of EU-member states.

Serbia does not recognize Kosovo’s statehood. Neither does Russia, China, Spain, Slovakia, Cyprus, Romania or Greece, which have halted its path to EU membership. Russia, an ally of Serbia, has vetoed Kosovo’s membership in the UN.

If this conflict kicks off, it would be the second war on the European continent and a second potential flash point between NATO and Russia.

Russia Links US, UK to Crimea Attack

On Wednesday Russia accused the United States and Britain of helping Ukraine carry out last week's attack against the headquarters Russian Black Sea fleet in occupied Crimea. According to Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova:

"There is no doubt that the attack had been planned in advance using Western intelligence means, NATO satellite assets and reconnaissance planes and was implemented upon the advice of [United States] and British security agencies and in close coordination with them."

Zakharova's boss, Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, stated that the US is "directly at war" with Moscow:

"You can call this whatever you want to call this, but they are directly at war with us. We can call this a hybrid war, but that doesn't change the reality. They are effectively engaged in hostilities with us, using the Ukrainians as fodder."

His statement came after the White House pledged another $600 million in additional aid to Ukraine.

AlertsUSA continues to monitor the domestic and international threat environment around the clock and will immediately notify service subscribers, via SMS messages and email, of new alerts, warnings and advisories, or any developments which signal a change the overall threat picture for American citizens.


AlertsUSA

SMS ALERTS FROM THIS WEEK
NOT DETAILED IN THIS NEWSLETTER ISSUE

9/26 - AlertsUSA monitoring response to reports of riots and looting in the Center City (15th & Market) area of Philadelphia, PA. Avoid the area.

9/28 - AlertsUSA monitoring ongoing lockdown of U.S. Army Garrison Hawaii while search is conducted for possible armed individual on base. Add'l alerts as warranted.

9/28 - Multiple victims in mass shooting, Holland Erasmus Medical Center, Rotterdam, NL. At least one suspect in custody. US Embassy warning forthcoming. Monitoring.

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Finland has donated numerous 2S1 Gvozdika ("Carnation") 122 mm 2A18 self-propelled howitzers to Ukraine. Image: Wikipedia - ALLOW IMAGES

Ukraine War Update

Sept 30, 2023
 
What You Need To Know

According to the UK Ministry of Defence:

On 29 September 2023, Russian authorities published footage of President Putin meeting former Wagner Group Chief of Staff Andrei Troshev, tasking him with overseeing and establishing new ‘volunteer fighting units’. Deputy defence minister Yunus-Bek Yevkurov was also at the meeting.

Around the time of the June 2023 insurrection, Troshev took up a role in the official security forces: Troshev was probably involved in encouraging other Wagner personnel to sign contracts, contributing to the insurrection. Many Wagner veterans likely consider him a traitor.

Yevkurov has recently been pictured touring African states. Presidential endorsement of Troshev and Yevkurov indicates Russia’s continuing utilisation of volunteer units and private military companies, and planning for the future of Wagner. It is prepared to draw on the experience of veterans who can demonstrate their loyalty to the state and continued involvement in the Global South, but probably with greater oversight from the Kremlin.


An Air Force Global Strike Command unarmed Minuteman III intercontinental ballistic missile launches during an operational test at 12:27 a.m. Pacific Time, Thursday, Oct. 29, 2020, at Vandenberg Air Force Base, California. Image: DoD - ALLOW IMAGES

Commentary / Analysis / Research

Sept 30, 2023

Deciding How Much Is Enough for U.S. Nuclear Forces

The discovery that the People's Republic of China is expanding its nuclear arsenal, Russia's "suspension" of the New START arms control treaty and aggression in Ukraine, and North Korea's evolving nuclear capabilities have led some to argue that the United States needs to expand its own nuclear forces to deter these potential adversaries. This Perspective articulates a framework for determining "how much is enough" for U.S. nuclear forces in the emerging strategic environment. The author argues that adversary perceptions, rather than quantitative comparisons, should be the primary criteria for sizing U.S. nuclear forces.

~ READ MORE HERE (RAND) ~

Africa: Carving the Golden Goose

Africa today consists of 56 different experiences in nation-building with some remarkable successes and many inevitable failures. In many African countries a new player has entered the game: a younger generation that is better educated, more ambitious and, at the same time, less gullible than its ancestors in the 19th century who looked away while imperial powers carved the golden goose.

~ READ MORE HERE (Gatestone Institute) ~

How Small Drones Changed Modern Warfare

With the current ease of access to social media, war has never been more visible worldwide than it is today. Videos of small drones carrying out devastating attacks targeting Russian personnel on Ukrainian soil have permeated popular social media feeds like X (formerly Twitter), Instagram, and TikTok.

However, small unmanned aircraft systems (sUAS) can be complex, encompassing everything from large unmanned planes with massive payloads to small palm-sized quadcopters conducting reconnaissance in hard-to-reach areas. Small drones come in various models, from top-of-the-line drones the US Military has to quadcopters right off Amazon or your local Walmart’s shelves.

~ READ MORE HERE (Task and Purpose) ~


Fleet and Marine Tracker Map as of Sept 25, 2023.  - ALLOW IMAGES
U.S. Navy Fleet and Marine Tracker
Sept 25, 2023

These are the approximate positions of the U.S. Navy’s deployed carrier strike groups and amphibious ready groups throughout the world as of Sept 25, 2023 based on U.S. Navy, public data provided by the U.S. Naval Institute, and open source reporting.


Air Force C-130J Super Hercules aircraft, part of the 37th Airlift Squadron, Ramstein Air Base, Germany, fly in formation with the 182nd Airlift Wing, Illinois Air National Guard, out of 33rd Air Base, Poland, Sept. 12, 2023. Image: DoD - ALLOW IMAGES
World News Roundup
Sept 30, 2023

BORDER CRISIS

CBP officers apprehend man sought on homicide charge
DHS accepting 99.7% of recent aliens applying for entry using CBP One

AMERICAS

FEMA / FCC plan to test national alert system on Oct. 4
US quietly strikes deal to send military to Ecuador
What is affected by a government shutdown and how it could impact you
Plans for Philly vandalism were an open secret on social media
Armed man arrested at VA church after posting threats on Instagram
DoD on Biden appointee's alleged membership in Iranian influence network
Car explosion in Barrie, Ont. neighbourhood from home-made bomb
US secures the release of the soldier who crossed into North Korea
Japan and U.S. warn of corporate hacking by China-linked group

EUROPE

Who’s gaining ground in Ukraine? This year, No one
A NATO country could soon have a pro-Russian leader
'Not a single round': Slovak election could see Kyiv lose staunch ally
Russia prepares nationwide drills with nuclear war scenario
Norway closes last European entry point for Russian cars
Medvedev expects number of Russian regions to grow
Russia accuses US, Britain of helping Ukraine in Crimea missile attack
Turkey will keep promise on Sweden's NATO bid if US approves F-16s
Germany will impose checks on borders with Poland and Czech Republic
Deadly violence continues in Sweden: 3 people killed in overnight attack

MIDDLE EAST / AFRICA

Iran Navy harasses US helicopter over Arabian Gulf
France to pull troops out of Niger following coup
French ambassador to Niger leaves as relations nosedive after coup
France's withdrawal from Niger could jeopardize CT ops in the Sahel
US shifting personnel to drone base as French forces pull out of Niger
Yemen: 5 fighters killed in clashes with suspected al-Qaida militants
Israel reopens Gaza crossings, lets Palestinians back to work after two weeks
Lebanese army says it exchanged smoke-bomb fire with Israel
Burkina Faso junta says it thwarted coup attempt
Mali's military gov postpones election intended to restore civilian rule
US admits Israel into visa waiver program

ASIA / OCEANIA

North Korea warns US has world on brink of nuclear war
Tensions with China cross a new line in the South China Sea
Philippines removes Chinese barrier at disputed shoal in 'special operation'
US secures the release of the soldier who crossed into North Korea
Mystery Russian plane in Pyongyang stokes concerns of arms deals
Inside Vietnam's plans to dent China's rare earths dominance
Japan to introduce new system for sharing disaster information
Pentagon's CWMD strategy document calls N. Korea as 'persistent threat'
India steel secretary closely watching after Canada diplomatic row
UN worried about Vietnam arrest of energy expert after Biden's visit
Heavy rain hits north Vietnam, halting traffic in Hanoi

PUBLIC HEALTH

Long COVID linked to multiple organ changes, research suggests
WHO says flu vaccines should ditch strain that vanished during COVID
Pilots becoming incapacitated by vaccines
Biden FDA vaccine adviser refuses latest shot


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Peak Prosperity with Dr. Chris Martenson.

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Travel Security Resources

With tensions rapidly increasing in most regions, readers planning international travel, even to such common destinations as Canada, Mexico or the Caribbean Islands, are strongly encouraged to research the security situation at your destination prior to booking, and again prior to departure.

The U.S. Dept. of State Travel Website is the authoritative federal source for information on the security situation at travel destinations worldwide.

Active USGOV Travel Notices

Active USGOV Travel Advisories

Other USGOV Travel Resources

Smart Traveler Enrollment Program (STEP) - Registering your overseas trip with the Department of State STEP program allows you to receive information from the Embassy about safety conditions in your destination country, helping you make informed decisions about your travel plans.

Overseas Security Advisory Council (OSAC) - Joining OSAC provides a variety of USGOV resources to enhance the safety and security of the U.S. private sector businesses and organizations operating abroad.

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) - The CDC travel website is the authoritative federal source for information on current health issues related to specific destinations worldwide. These issues may arise from disease outbreaks, special events or gatherings, natural disasters, or other conditions that may affect travelers’ health.

Foreign Sources of Travel Guidance

See what other governments are telling their own citizens about the safety and security aspects of your destination.



Take Advantage of These Resources

Our social media channels provide a steady steam of important news and resources between issues of Threat Journal with little or no overlap of content. Combined with the AlertsUSA service for instant mobile notification of the really bad developments, you have an unmatched set of tools to keep yourself fully up to speed on the nation's threat environment. With times getting worse by the day, we urge you to utilize these resources.


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Ezekiel 33:3 - "Then if anyone hears the trumpet but does not heed the warning and the sword comes and takes their life, their blood will be on their own head."

 

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