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June 11, 2022
Threat Journal is a weekly supplement to the
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WEEKLY THREAT AND ALERT ROUNDUP
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DHS Warns of Heightened Extremist Threats

June 11, 2022
On June 7th, the following related Flash SMS
message was sent to AlertsUSA subscriber mobile devices:

6/7 - DHS issues new Nat'l Terrorism Advisory System (NTAS) Bulletin warning of a dynamic and complex threat environment in coming months. Full details via email.

What You Need To Know

On Tuesday, AlertsUSA subscribers were notified the Dept. of Homeland Security had issued a National Terrorism Advisory System Bulletin warning that recent violent attacks by lone offenders against minority communities, schools, houses of worship, and mass transit have demonstrated the dynamic and complex nature of the threat environment facing the United States, and it's likely more is on the way.

"In the coming months, we expect the threat environment to become more dynamic as several high-profile events could be exploited to justify acts of violence against a range of possible targets. These targets could include public gatherings, faith-based institutions, schools, racial and religious minorities, government facilities and personnel, U.S. critical infrastructure, the media, and perceived ideological opponents."

"Threat actors have recently mobilized to violence due to factors such as personal grievances, reactions to current events, and adherence to violent extremist ideologies, including racially or ethnically motivated or anti-government/anti-authority violent extremism."

"Foreign adversaries—including terrorist organizations and nation state adversaries—also remain intent on exploiting the threat environment to promote or inspire violence, sow discord, or undermine U.S. democratic institutions."

The Department of Homeland Security and FBI continue to assess that the primary threat of mass casualty violence in the United States stems from lone offenders and small groups motivated by a range of ideological beliefs and/or personal grievances.

Three domestic policy grievances mentioned in the bulletin that extremists may use to justify violence include border enforcement and immigration, upcoming Supreme Court action on abortion rights, as well as the 2022 mid-term elections.

DHS and the FBI work with partners across every level of government, the private sector, and in local communities to keep Americans safe. Both have prepared a large collection of resources to aid in this mission, from how to better protect businesses, houses of worship, and schools, and ensure the safety of public gatherings, to resources to help you evaluate suspicious behaviors, as well as guidance to prevent, protect against, respond to, and mitigate the use of explosives.

Read the full bulletin and access the resource links HERE.

AlertsUSA continues to monitor the domestic and international threat environment around the clock and will immediately notify service subscribers, via SMS messages to their mobile devices, of new alerts, warnings and advisories or any developments which signal a change the overall threat picture for American citizens as events warrant.


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SMS ALERTS FROM THIS WEEK
NOT DETAILED IN THIS NEWSLETTER ISSUE

6/8 - One dead, 30 injured after a vehicle drove into a crowd near the Kaiser Wilhelm Church at Breitscheidplatz in Berlin. Driver arrested. AlertsUSA monitoring.

 
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Norwegian M109A3GN 155mm self-propelled howitzers. In total, 22 of these howitzers were received by Ukraine from Norway along with ammunition and spare parts. - ALLOW IMAGES

Ukraine War Update

June 11, 2022
What You Need To Know

According to the UK Ministry of Defense:

Friday, June 10, marked the 110th day since the start of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Fighting continues around Sieverodonetsk. Russia is again in control of most of the city, but its forces have made little progress in attempts to encircle the wider area from the north and south.

Russia is struggling to provide basic public services to the population in Russian-occupied territories. Access to safe drinking water has been inconsistent, while major disruption to telephone and internet services continues.

There is likely a critical shortage of medicines in Kherson, while Mariupol is at risk of a major cholera outbreak. Isolated cases of cholera have been reported since May.

Ukraine suffered a major cholera epidemic in 1995, and has experienced minor outbreaks since, especially around the Azov Sea coast - which includes Mariupol.

Medical services in Mariupol are likely already near collapse: a major cholera outbreak in Mariupol will exacerbate this further.

Conflict map for June 11, 2022. - ALLOW IMAGES

Commercial satellite image of Sevastopol naval base on the Crimean Peninsula, home to Russia's Black Sea Fleet.  - ALLOW IMAGES

Commentary / Analysis / Research

June 11, 2022

The Space Industry After The Russo-Ukrainian War

Russia, and its quasi-civil space agency Roscosmos, have played a significant role in the commercial space market — particularly the global space launch-services market, valued at $12.42 billion in 2021 — for decades. In the wake of the Ukrainian conflict, Russia’s role in commercial space launch is likely to be diminished, to the benefit of alternative launch-service providers in the United States, Europe, and, potentially, nations like India and Japan. The war is also affecting space and technology import and export streams, with both commercial and national security effects. Most ominously, the Ukraine conflict has demonstrated the prominent military benefits of commercial space systems — likely making such systems targets for belligerents and potentially necessitating countermeasures, or at least consideration, from the private companies that control them.

~ READ MORE HERE (War On The Rocks) ~

SOS: Is The Pentagon Losing the U.S. to China?

Last July, the director of the Central Intelligence Agency, William J. Burns, said that China is "the single biggest geopolitical challenge that the United States faces far out into the 21st century" and that "the main arena for competition and rivalry with China" is technology.

The Pentagon has been facing massive criticism for being unable properly, if at all, to meet that very technological challenge. "The U.S. government is not prepared to defend the United States in the coming artificial intelligence (AI) era," the National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence warned in March 2021, while also saying that China was on its way to become the world's top AI superpower.

~ READ MORE HERE (Guardian) ~

Violent Extremists’ Use of Emerging Technologies

In a recent report published by the Global Network on Extremism and Technology, researchers investigate how racially and ethnically motivated violent extremists are using new technologies in comparison with the Islamic State. Titled, Learning from Foes: How Racially and Ethnically Motivated Violent Extremists Embrace and Mimic Islamic State’s Use of Emerging Technologies, the authors seek to better understand how terrorist organizations adopt new techniques and procedures.

The report features three case studies involving three different emerging technologies: cloud-based instant messaging services, unmanned aerial vehicles, and social media bots.

In sum, this report not only contributes to our understanding of how and why terrorist groups embrace emerging technologies, but also how the malevolent use of emerging technologies can spread from one ideologically motivated social movement to another, dramatically changing the security landscape.

~ READ MORE HERE (Gnet Research) ~


Fleet and Marine Tracker Map as of June 6, 2022.  - ALLOW IMAGES
 
USNI Fleet and Marine Tracker
June 11, 2022

These are the approximate positions of the U.S. Navy’s deployed carrier strike groups and amphibious ready groups throughout the world as of June 6, 2022 based on U.S. Navy, public data provided by the U.S. Naval Institute, and open source reporting. In cases where a CSG or ARG is conducting disaggregated operations, the chart reflects the location of the capital ship.


A UH-1Y Venom helicopter, left, and AH-1Z Viper helicopter descend to land near Saaremaa, Estonia, May 22, 2022.  - ALLOW IMAGES
 
World News Roundup
June 11, 2022

AMERICAS

Texas installs miles of concertina wire along border near Rio Grande
Five presumed dead after Marine MV-22B Osprey crashes in the CA desert
US Air Force awards contracts to start designing F-35 weapon
Biden protester rushes motorcade, gets tackled by Secret Service agent in LA
Migrant caravan in Mexico heads for U.S. border as Americas Summit starts
Armed man arrested near Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh’s home
After lawmaker threat, DoD pledges to make cruise missile decision in July
The Pentagon has a supply-chain problem
US to run out of Javelin missiles for Ukraine
Biden ditches Trump’s red-white-blue livery for Air Force One
The dangers of U.S. reliance on Russian titanium
US military aviation accidents pile up
US deploys B-1B bombers to Guam

EUROPE

Russia says West risks 'direct military clash' over cyber attacks
Russian military moves in the Arctic worry the U.S. and NATO
Russia claims it won't cut off gas supply to more EU customers
Ukraine army’s daily death toll up to 200 - Defense chief
Zelensky: Fate of eastern Ukraine tied to fighting in Severodonetsk
Russia beats back Ukrainian counter-attacks in Severodonetsk
Ukraine: Drivers risk all to bring aid, help civilians flee
UK deportation flight to Rwanda can go ahead, high court judge rules
Stop militarising Aegean islands, Turkey’s Erdogan tells Greece
Turkey struggles to push Russia, Ukraine into grain deal to avert food crisis
Goodbye Golden Arches: rebranded McDonald's to reopen in Russia
Russia's war prompts regional rush to become EU candidates
EU reviews Ukraine's bid to eventually join the bloc

MIDDLE EAST / AFRICA

Iran nuclear deal nears potential ‘fatal blow’ as Tehran removes cameras
Removal of cameras at Iran nuclear sites ‘fatal blow’ to talks
Huge scale and impact of Israeli incursions over Lebanon skies revealed
Hezbollah 'ready' to use force if Lebanon says Israel violating water rights
Israel sends navy to escort drilling rig in disputed gas field
Iran-backed militias' attacks against U.S. targets are up
Israel's Bennett in UAE for talks after trade deal
No way out as Iraq’s dangerous post-election impasse deepens
Nigerian officials say terror group ISWAP behind church massacre
ECOWAS Condemns Terrorist Attack On Worshippers in Nigeria
Terrorist groups ‘exploiting power vacuums’, UN chief warns
Saudi Arabia calls for security cooperation to address terrorism in Africa

ASIA

China ties at ‘lowest moment’ since 1972, US Ambassador says
US and Chinese defense chiefs trade barbs over Taiwan
Chinese defense minister vows to fight ‘Taiwan independence’ in 1st meeting
Will 'not hesitate to start war' over Taiwan, china tells US
Australia, New Zealand unite on China’s Pacific threat
Covid-19 in China: Shanghai getting used to 'new normal'
US pledges to maintain military capacity to defend Taiwan
Japanese PM lays out Indo-Pacific strategy in Shangri-La speech
What the Ukraine war should teach China
What Southeast Asia Wants From America
Japan resets on defense


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Hurricane Preparedness Resources

These resources provide actionable guidance to government officials and the general public on how to prepare for and respond to extreme tropical weather events. The links below jump directly to the resource page of each organization.

Ready.Gov
DHS / FEMA
Dept. of Defense
Centers for Disease Control (CDC)
Nat'l Oceanic and Atmos. Admin (NOAA)
Dept of Labor / OSHA
Red Cross

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Travel Security Resources

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The U.S. Dept. of State Travel Website is the authoritative federal source for information on the security situation at travel destinations worldwide. With tensions rapidly increasing in most regions, readers planning international travel, even to such common destinations as Canada, Mexico or the Caribbean Islands, are strongly encouraged to research on the security situation at your destination prior to departure.

Active USGOV Travel Notices
Worldwide Caution


Active USGOV Travel Advisories
Alphabetical Country List
Dynamic Map



Other USGOV Travel Resources
Traveler's Checklist
Smart Traveler Enrollment Prog (STEP)
Travelers with Special Considerations
Travel to High-Risk Areas
Faith-Based Travel Information
Information for Women Travelers
Cruise Ship Passengers
Students Abroad
Your Health Abroad
Driving and Road Safety Abroad

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The Department of State’s Overseas Security Advisory Council (OSAC) provides a variety of resources to enhance the safety and security of the U.S. private sector businesses and organizations operating abroad.

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The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention website is the authoritative federal source for information on current health issues related to specific destinations worldwide. These issues may arise from disease outbreaks, special events or gatherings, natural disasters, or other conditions that may affect travelers’ health.

Foreign Sources of Travel Guidance

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Take Advantage of These Resources

Our social media channels provide a steady steam of important news and resources between issues of Threat Journal with little or no overlap of content. Combined with the AlertsUSA service for instant mobile notification of the really bad developments, you have an unmatched set of tools to keep yourself fully up to speed on the nation's threat environment. With times getting worse by the day, we urge you to utilize these resources.


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