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May 13, 2023
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A section of the US/MX border fence. - ALLOW IMAGES

Biden Warns Americans to Brace for Border Chaos

May 13, 2023
Between May 7-10, the following related Flash SMS
messages were sent to AlertsUSA subscriber mobile devices:

5/10 - Heavy gunfire reported at the Pharr–Reynosa Int'l Bridge connecting McAllen, TX & Reynosa, MX. Multiple injuries reported. AlertsUSA monitoring..

5/7 - At least 7 dead and multiple injured after SUV plows through crowd outside of shelter for migrants and homeless in Brownsville, TX. AlertsUSA monitoring..

What You Need To Know

Joe Biden is warning Americans to prepare for a "chaotic" period at the southern border, as the US braces for an historic surge of migrants with the end of Title 42 expulsions. As reported last week, intelligence shared by the US Border Patrol has, as of one month ago, as many as 700,000 migrants from around the world currently in Mexico waiting to enter the U.S..

As of the time of this report's preparation Friday evening, long lines were forming at formal ports of entry along portions of the border, while other sectors were slower due, in part, to a super-soaker weather system moving from Mexico into Texas.

530,000 Gotaways

According to Border Patrol Chief Raul Ortiz, “upwards of 60,000 migrants” are “staging in and around the immediate border area.” On Friday morning, Oritz announced that Border Patrol averaged nearly 10,000 arrests a day, or about 70,00 for the week. This is up from approximately is up from 55,000 the week before, which itself was up from the 30,000 to 35,000 that the Border Patrol was averaging each week earlier in the year.

On Wednesday, Chief Oritz revealed that over 530,000 migrants have illegally entered into US since October of last year. Referred to a "Gotaways," these are illegals who are spotted by border patrol but unable to be apprehended, triggered motion sensors and cameras in remote areas, or who were otherwise known to have clandestinely entered the country.

Pharr–Reynosa Bridge Shooting

Also on Wednesday of this week, AlertsUSA subscribers were notified of reports of heavy gunfire at the Pharr–Reynosa Int'l Bridge connecting McAllen, TX & Reynosa, MX. According to Hidalgo Texas Police Chief Romero Rodriguez, this was a shootout between cartel members and Mexican armed forces that left four people dead on the Mexican side. As is normally the case, neither U.S. nor Mexican authorities have released any additional information about the incident.

Federal Judge Slams Biden

A federal judge ripped into the Biden Administration late Thursday, ruling that the Dept. of Homeland Security cannot use its “parole” powers to release illegal immigrants into the country without issuing what's referred to as a 'notice to appear'. This temporary injunction, the result of a lawsuit by the State of Florida, appears to hamper a primary means through which the administration was planning to deal with the massive wave of people arriving at the border.

In his ruling, U.S. District Judge T. Kent Wetherell in the Northern District of Florida wrote the following (PDF):

“Putting aside the fact that even President Biden recently acknowledged that the border has been in chaos for ‘a number of years,’ Defendants’ doomsday rhetoric rings hollow because … this problem is largely one of Defendants’ own making through the adoption and implementation of policies that have encouraged the so-called ‘irregular migration’ that has become fairly regular over the past 2 years.”

Judge Wetherell added:

“Moreover, the Court fails to see a material difference between what CBP will be doing under the challenged policy and what it claims that it would have to do if the policy was enjoined, because in both instances, aliens are being released into the country on an expedited basis without being placed in removal proceedings and with little to no vetting and no monitoring.”

The injunction lasts for two weeks during which the court will hear arguments from the administration. A preliminary injunction hearing is scheduled for May 19th.

The US Border Patrol Union issued the following statement:

"This is by far the worst sustained disaster that any BP agent, active or retired, has ever seen at our border. And one man is responsible for every single bit of it, with the worst still to come."

In support of the Border Patrol Union statement, reports from field indicate the illegals are arriving with host of infestations and diseases, including lice, bed bugs, scabies, drug-resistant Tuberculosis, chicken pox, measles, and a whole lot more. There are also significant concerns within the public health community of the import of insect-borne diseases from Latin America and beyond, including, chagas, dengue fever, and Zika. Keep in mind, this migrant wave is comprised of individuals entering the country from more than 120 nations.

A Warning to Parents

AlertsUSA cautions readers that if large groups of migrants are settled in your community, parents of school-aged children should be mindful of how arriving children are merged into your areas schools. To highlight why this is necessary, the flood of illegal immigrant families into New York City is already forcing schools to accept children who lack required vaccinations. This practice is believed to have led to at least one outbreak in the city.

If you have kids in pre-K through 12th grade schools, it would be prudent to question the board and administration on their plans.

AlertsUSA continues to monitor the domestic and international threat environment around the clock and will immediately notify service subscribers, via SMS messages to their mobile devices, of new alerts, warnings and advisories or any developments which signal a change the overall threat picture for American citizens as events warrant.


5/6 - AlertsUSA monitoring response to active shooter report, Allen Premium Outlet Mall, Allen, TX. Multiple victims reported. Mall on lockdown.

5/6 - Multiple fatalities confirmed in Allen Premium Outlet Mall shooting. At least one gunman is down, search continues for possible second shooter. Avoid the area.

5/10 - M7.4 earthquake, 75 km WNW of Hihifo, Tonga. AlertsUSA monitoring for tsunami warnings.

5/10 - US Embassy Israel warns of rocket strikes across southern and central Israel, incl in Tel Aviv. Vigilance and increased security awareness urged. See email.

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The latest round of arms to be supplied to Ukraine include an adaptation of the M3A1 Carl Gustaf Recoilless Rifle. Photo: DoD - ALLOW IMAGES

Ukraine War Update+

May 13, 2023
What You Need To Know

According to the Institute for the Study of War:

  • Ukrainian forces have made gains northwest of Bakhmut in localized counterattacks as of May 12.
  • Russian milbloggers and other prominent voices in the pro-war information space continue to respond to recent Ukrainian counterattacks with varying degrees of caution and anxiety.
  • Ukrainian and American officials stated that Ukrainian forces have not yet started the planned counteroffensive.
  • Senior Russian officials proposed a series of domestic repression and censorship measures during the St. Petersburg International Legal Forum on May 11.

According to the UK Ministry of Defence:

  • Over the last four days, elements of Russia’s 72nd Separate Motor Rifle Brigade (72 SMRB) likely withdrew in bad order from their positions on the southern flank of the Bakhmut operation. Ukrainian forces regained at least a kilometre of territory.
  • The area has some tactical significance because it was a Russian bridgehead on the western side of the Donets-Donbas Canal, which marks the front line through parts of the sector.
  • 72 SMRB is an element of Russia’s 3rd Army Corps, a formation created in Autumn 2023 and dogged with allegations of poor morale and limited combat effectiveness. Its deployment to such a demanding and operationally important sector highlights Russia’s severe shortage of credible combat units.
Ukraine conflict map as of May 13, 2023. Image: @war_mapper with permission. - ALLOW IMAGES

Methamphetamine in a mini ziplock bag. Image: - ALLOW IMAGES

Commentary / Analysis / Research

May 13, 2023

Precursors and Mexico’s Synthetic Drug Trade

Synthetic drugs have changed organized crime. As opposed to most legacy drugs -- which rely on plants, harvests, favorable weather, significant and varied manual labor, and transport of bulk amounts of illicit substances across heavily-policed terrain -- synthetic drugs can be produced in laboratories year-round.

This investigation sought to understand the flow of these precursors for the production of synthetic drugs in Mexico, specifically methamphetamine and fentanyl.

~ READ MORE HERE (InsightCrime) ~

The Aftermath of a Great Power War

A review of historical great power wars shows that prewar predictions about who would fight, how long the war would last, and how the world would look afterward were often wrong. This history underlines the need for defense planners to carefully examine their assumptions and to seriously consider both intended and unintended outcomes of great power conflicts.

As the Department of Defense increasingly focuses on competition with Russia and China, RAND Project AIR FORCE (PAF) examined four scenarios illustrating how hypothetical wars with these countries could produce unwanted consequences for the United States — even if the United States is victorious.


China: Growing and Going to Sea

For the People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN), 2022 was another banner year. Although the largest navy on the planet did not commission as many ships and submarines as in 2021, it continued to outproduce the U.S. Navy in total numbers of ships, tonnage, and supersonic antiship cruise missiles.

The PLAN returned to sea with expanded “far seas operations” highlighted by PLAN carrier operations outside the first island chain, along with support to the PLA’s Taiwan-focused combined arms firepower exercise and increased combined operations with Russia and others. All in all, the PLA demonstrated why it may be the most dominant naval force in the western Pacific and is able to execute all orders—including the increasing likelihood of an invasion of Taiwan.

~ READ MORE HERE (US Naval Institute) ~

Fleet and Marine Tracker Map as of May 8, 2023.  - ALLOW IMAGES
U.S. Navy Fleet and Marine Tracker
May 8, 2023

These are the approximate positions of the U.S. Navy’s deployed carrier strike groups and amphibious ready groups throughout the world as of May 8, 2023 based on U.S. Navy, public data provided by the U.S. Naval Institute, and open source reporting.

A Marine Corps MV-22 Osprey prepares to land during a squad competition at Marine Corps Base Quantico, Va., April 24, 2023. Image: DoD- ALLOW IMAGES
World News Roundup
May 13, 2023


Confusion, resolve at US-Mexico border as Title 42 formally ends
Haiti’s anti-gang vigilantes may pose future criminal threat
Venezuela, Colombia to increase military presence along shared border
Mexico to send more National Guard troops to the southern border
US, NATO missile defense exercise kicks off in Atlantic amid Russian flexing
San Jose burglary investigation uncovers 100 pounds of explosive material
Amphibious C-130 won’t fly for two to three more years
US braces for migration surge with thousands of forces at border
US accuses South Africa of supplying arms to Russia
Biden DHS coordinating illegal immigration in-flows with Mexico
Judge blames Biden for border chaos, rejects DHS’s ‘parole’ policy


EU’s top diplomat says he knows how to stop Ukraine conflict ‘immediately’
Germany announces €2.7 billion in new military aid to Ukraine
UK first country to send longer range cruise missiles to Ukraine
Greece lines up kamikaze drone production with Paramount
Armenia reports new border clashes with Azerbaijan forces
Erdogan faces toughest test in Turkish election w high stakes for the world
China to send special envoy to Ukraine, Russia from Monday
Several vehicles in flames after explosion in centre of Milan
Outcry as French mayor resigns after far-right attacks
Kremlin calls polish decision to rename Kaliningrad 'hostile act'


Palestinian militants fire more rockets, Israeli airstrikes hit Gaza
Israel walks away from ceasefire talks as rockets begin flying again
Army, 'foreign' fighters killed 500 in Mali in March 2022: UN report
S. Africa faces questions over weapons supply to Russia, US issues warning
Sudan belligerents sign commitment to protect civilians
New fighting kills 2 Palestinian militant commanders as Egypt pushes truce
Iranian dissident put under 24-hour police protection in UK after threats to life
Chad: 17 civilians killed in southern village attack
Violence in Sudan likely to spark record levels of hunger
Sudan - Fierce battles underway in Khartoum, Omdurman
One dead, 30 injured in new wave of unrest in Senegal
At least seven people killed by police gunfire in Guinea protests
Tshisekedi warns EACRF will ‘leave’ if they don’t act on rebels


Chinese spaceplane docked with another object multiple times data indicates
NATO pivots to Asia as China threat grows
Taiwan gets US rocket launchers early as fears grow of Chinese invasion
Pakistan has lots of nuclear weapons (and it could collapse)
Pakistan supreme court rules arrest of Imran Khan was illegal
Philippines court acquits Leila de Lima, a vocal critic of Duterte's war on drugs
Tense calm in India’s Manipur where ethnic riots claimed 62 lives
Thailand's ex-PM Thaksin shakes up election with talk of return


SARS-CoV-2 Spike Protein Accumulation in the Skull-Meninges-Brain Axis
Virologist who funded Wuhan experiments admits lab leak is possible
FDA loosens blood donation policy to include gay, bisexual men
Pfizer's RSV vaccine may raise the risk of premature birth, experts warn
New Zealand records biggest increase in registered deaths in 100 years
Vax mandates for patients and HCWs being reversed, overturned across US
AI tool can predict pancreatic cancer up to three years in advance, says study
Fake scientific papers are alarmingly common

Peak Prosperity with Dr. Chris Martenson.
Global Rescue: Wander the World Without Worry

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Travel Security Resources

With tensions rapidly increasing in most regions, readers planning international travel, even to such common destinations as Canada, Mexico or the Caribbean Islands, are strongly encouraged to research the security situation at your destination prior to booking, and again prior to departure.

The U.S. Dept. of State Travel Website is the authoritative federal source for information on the security situation at travel destinations worldwide.

Active USGOV Travel Notices

Active USGOV Travel Advisories

Other USGOV Travel Resources

Smart Traveler Enrollment Program (STEP) - Registering your overseas trip with the Department of State STEP program allows you to receive information from the Embassy about safety conditions in your destination country, helping you make informed decisions about your travel plans.

Overseas Security Advisory Council (OSAC) - Joining OSAC provides a variety of USGOV resources to enhance the safety and security of the U.S. private sector businesses and organizations operating abroad.

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) - The CDC travel website is the authoritative federal source for information on current health issues related to specific destinations worldwide. These issues may arise from disease outbreaks, special events or gatherings, natural disasters, or other conditions that may affect travelers’ health.

Foreign Sources of Travel Guidance

See what other governments are telling their own citizens about the safety and security aspects of your destination.

Take Advantage of These Resources

Our social media channels provide a steady steam of important news and resources between issues of Threat Journal with little or no overlap of content. Combined with the AlertsUSA service for instant mobile notification of the really bad developments, you have an unmatched set of tools to keep yourself fully up to speed on the nation's threat environment. With times getting worse by the day, we urge you to utilize these resources.

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