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Jan 11, 2025
A weekly supplement to the AlertsUSA
National Threat and Incident Notification Service
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WEEKLY THREAT AND ALERT ROUNDUP
Published Each Saturday
 
Helicopter prepares for water drop on a California wilfire.- ALLOW IMAGES

Los Angeles Fires: Tinderbox, Arson, or Terrorism?

Jan 11, 2025

On Jan 8th, the following related Flash SMS
messages were
sent to AlertsUSA subscriber mobile devices:

1/8 - Authorities report 5 deaths in Los Angeles-area fires. 100K under mandatory evacuation orders, 100K+ warned to prepare. Urges avoidance of area if possible.

1/8 - All schools and educational centers across the Los Angeles Unified School District closed on Jan 9 due to impact and threat of local wildfires. More via email.

 
What You Need To Know

Fast-moving wildfires have ravaged the Los Angeles area this week, killing at least 11 people and destroying more than 10,000 structures. Nearly 200,000 people have been displaced, and at least 35,000 acres of land have burned.

With at least three of the fires still out of control, the result is increasingly larger areas being subject to mandatory evacuation orders. Once the orders go out, criminal elements then know which areas are less secure, with the result being the looting of residences, businesses, banks, and pharmacies.

And the faster people were forced to flee, the more ripe the 'pickins left behind. This situation was greatly amplified by city leaders and authorities encouraging evacuating residents to leave their doors and windows unlocked to assist firefighters if they need to enter the structure.

The resulting crime spree has led to at least 20 arrests, as well as stern public warnings from the governor, LAPD, LA County Sheriff's Office, and the Los Angeles District Attorney. A nightly curfew has been ordered from 6:00 pm to 6:00 am in all evacuation & warning areas, and the National Guard has been deployed around the disaster areas to assist police with traffic control, the manning of checkpoints, as well as critical infrastructure security.

As of the time of this report's preparation Friday evening, there were six active blazes, including the Palisades and Hurst fires, which are zero percent contained. LA's fire chief called the fires “one of the most destructive natural disasters in the history of Los Angeles.”

Causes

Wildfires are as natural a part of California as sunshine and blue skies. In 1542, Spanish explorer Juan Rodríguez Cabrillo wrote in his ship's log that there was so much smoke on the shore near present-day Santa Monica that he named the place Bahía de los Fumos, or Smokes Bay.

The most common causes of recent wildfires in California have been arson, poorly maintained power lines (which caused the 2018 Camp Fire that killed 84 people), and even poorer forest management. California forests are choked with young shrubs, brush, and other dry fuels. Add to this the warm, dry climate, and the setting is primed for major fire outbreaks from even the smallest spark.

During his first term in office, President Trump repeatedly warned Governor Newsom regarding his state's poor job at forest management. In a 2019 social media post, Trump stated the following:

“Every year, as the fire’s rage & California burns, it is the same thing-and then he comes to the Federal Government for $$$ help. No more. Get your act together Governor. You don’t see close to the level of burn in other states.”

Arson Arrests

There have been two arrests and one detention of suspected arsonists in relation to the fires. One suspect is a 60-year-old woman who allegedly started a fire on Jan. 8 near Leo Carrillo State Park in Los Angeles County. The detained individual was eventually released, with police citing 'insufficient probable cause' to apply the charge of arson.

A Possible Terrorism Angle?

Readers should not be surprised to learn that both Al Qaeda and the Islamic State have long encouraged followers to use forest fires and arson as weapons with which to carry out attacks.

Al Qaeda's first English-language magazine, known as Inspire, encouraged American Muslims to attack non-Muslims and Western interests using fire. Quoting that issue:

"Assassinations, bombings, and acts of arson... are all legitimate forms of revenge against a system that relishes the sacrilege of Islam in the name of freedom."

This was back in 2010.

In 2012, Russia's internal security service accused al-Qaida of waging what they called "forest jihad" in Europe... by sparking the wildfires that have ravaged the continent.

Also in 2012, the Department of Homeland Security released an unclassified threat assessment titled, "Terrorist Interest in Using Fire as a Weapon."

"International terrorist groups and violent extremists have long shown interest in using fire as a weapon, due to the low cost and limited technical expertise required, the potential for causing large-scale damage, and the low risk of apprehension...Use of this tactic is directed at Western audiences and supports homeland attacks."

[...]

"For terrorists, setting fires has several advantages over other methods... including duration of the fire and long-term effects, the potential for casualties, economic damage, wide media coverage, and the accompanying psychological effects of fear and terror."

In 2017, the Islamic State's now-defunct Rumiyah magazine told would-be jihadists that “incendiary attacks have played a significant role in modern and guerrilla warfare, as well as in ‘lone wolf’ terrorism,” and that wildfires set around Israel demonstrate the lethality of such effortless operations.

In 2020, the Islamic State released a four-minute video titled, “Incite the Believers,” within which followers are taught that arson is the highest-rated of the low-skill terror tactics. An animation in the film shows a hand marking a spot on a map between San Francisco and Sacramento. The graphic then lights on fire, burning through the California map.

AlertsUSA continues to monitor the national and international threat environment and will immediately notify service subscribers of any new alerts, warnings, or advisories impacting the overall threat picture for American citizens, as events warrant.


AlertsUSA

SMS ALERTS FROM THIS WEEK
NOT DETAILED IN THIS NEWSLETTER ISSUE

1/5 - Washington, DC on high alert for the coming week. Federal election certification, Capitol Hill, 1/6. Carter State Funeral, 1/7-9. Caution urged in the district.

1/6 - Strong shallow M 7.1 EQ, 93 km NE of Lobuche, Nepal. AlertsUSA monitoring for damage reports.

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Peak Prosperity with Dr. Chris Martenson.

US Navy Ships Must Practice Celestial Navigation - ALLOW IMAGES
Commentary / Analysis / Research
Jan 11, 2025

US Navy Ships Must Practice Celestial Navigation

Celestial navigation competence was still necessary just a generation ago. The practice waned with the advent of more sophisticated and precise electronic navigation solutions; yet, as U.S. adversaries’ cyber and electronic warfare capabilities advanced, analog navigation techniques became relevant again. However, it is still rare for a Navy warship to intentionally operate without its electronic navigation suite.

~ READ MORE HERE (US Naval Institute) ~

Greenland Could Be The Deal of The Century

Regardless of Donald Trump's statements on the topic, formally bringing Greenland under the U.S. territorial umbrella (whatever form that takes) can significantly boost security across multiple domains. The world's largest island, Greenland's geographic location makes the strategic potential obvious. Greenland’s resource wealth is also immense, including known reserves of 43 of the 50 minerals deemed “critical” by the USGOV, including large deposits of rare earths outside China

~ READ MORE HERE (Economist) ~

The Future of Irregular Warfare

Seth Jones, President, CSIS Defense and Security Dept interviews Christopher Maier, Asst. Secretary of Defense for Special Operations and Low-Intensity Conflict. Topics discussed include to the future outlook for irregular warfare, the direction of the special operations forces (SOF) enterprise, and how technology will impact SOF activities in the future.

~ READ MORE HERE (CSIS) ~


Fleet and Marine Tracker Map as of Dec 30, 2024.  - ALLOW IMAGES
U.S. Navy Fleet and Marine Tracker
As of Jan 6, 2025

These are the approximate positions of the U.S. Navy’s deployed carrier strike groups and amphibious ready groups throughout the world as of Jan 6, 2025 based on U.S. Navy, public data provided by the U.S. Naval Institute, and open source reporting.


CDC Weekly Influenza Surveillance Report graphic - ALLOW IMAGES
CDC Weekly Influenza Surveillance Report
As of Dec 28, 2024

Outpatient Respiratory Illness activity map determined by data reported to ILINet. This system monitors visits for respiratory illness that includes fever plus a cough or sore throat, also referred to as ILI, not laboratory confirmed influenza, and may capture patient visits due to other respiratory pathogens that cause similar symptoms. Click HERE or the map for additional information.


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An airman assigned to the 82nd Expeditionary Rescue Squadron secures the landing zone after being dropped off by an MV-22B Osprey during a personnel recovery training exercise near Camp Lemonnier, Djibouti, Dec. 15, 2024. The exercise challenged Marines and airmen to deliver vital care in low-light and high-pressure environments. Image: DoD - ALLOW IMAGES
World News Roundup
Jan 11, 2025

PUBLIC HEALTH

China detects new mutated mpox strain for first time
Does Pfizer data reveal a negative efficacy for their COVID vaccine?
First bird flu case reported at Maryland poultry facility

AMERICAS

Far-left Antifa activists waiting to see Trump actions
SCOTUS signals uphold of ban on TikTok over national security concerns
Lack of hardened aircraft shelters leaves US airbases vulnerable
Trusted Traveler program reinstated on bases following New Orleans attack
Venezuelan opposition leader's son-in-law kidnapped in Caracas
Explosion near State Park raises concerns about drilling on Ohio public land
UN: More than 5,600 people were killed in Haiti last year
Thirteen Cuban soldiers missing after explosions rock ammo depot
Nicaragua continues NGO crackdown with Save the Children ban
Guyana seeks help from UN’s top court as Venezuela tries land takeover

EUROPE

Kyiv captures first North Korean prisoners of war in Kursk
US and UK toughen sanctions on Russian oil industry
Lithuania boosts power grid security ahead of Russia decoupling
The U.S. Navy still wants to operate out of this Norwegian submarine cave
UK-led reaction system activated for seabed warfare and fleet monitoring
NATO takes control air defenses in Poland crucial to supporting Ukraine
Trump’s NATO vision spells trouble for the alliance
NATO to boost Baltic presence, send warships to guard undersea cables
Finnish soldiers train NATO allies in winter survival skills
Neutrality: An alternative to Ukraine’s membership in NATO

MIDDLE EAST / AFRICA

Israeli strikes kills 19 in southern Gaza, health officials say
Army says trio of suspected Houthi drones downed, ending short-lived lull
Body recovered in Gaza confirmed to be 23-year-old hostage
Western powers warn Syria over foreign jihadists in army, sources say
Turkey angered by possible French presence on Syrian border
America’s Middle East force posture requires fluidity of options
Israeli settlers in West Bank see Trump win as chance to go further
DR Congo conflict displaces more than 100,000 people in a week
Chad investigates foiled attempt to storm presidential compound
US determines Sudan's RSF committed genocide, imposes sanctions
Nigerian troops repel Boko Haram ambush in Borno, kill 34 insurgents
Benin armed forces suffers heavy losses in northern attack
US-backed Joseph Aoun elected president of Lebanon

ASIA / OCEANIA

China suddenly building fleet of special barges suitable for Taiwan landings
Taiwan demonstrates sea defenses against potential Chinese attack
The maps that show how China’s military is squeezing Taiwan
America is building an impregnable Pacific island fortress against China
China's air bases will outlast those of U.S. in Taiwan war: report
7 Taiwanese retired military officers charged with spying for China
Taiwan Coast Guard says ship that allegedly cut cable crewed by Chinese
Vietnam struggles to avoid the Trump administration’s glare
Philippines urged to ‘lean into US alliance’ to put pressure on Beijing
S. Korean leader's security chief warns against violent attempts to arrest Yoon
South Korea's Yoon faces new arrest attempt in fortified compound
Tally of Tibet earthquake injured rises on third day of search for survivors
Chinese hackers attack Philippines presidential office

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Travel Security Resources

With tensions rapidly increasing in most regions, readers planning international travel, even to such common destinations as Canada, Mexico or the Caribbean Islands, are strongly encouraged to research the security situation at your destination prior to booking, and again prior to departure.

The U.S. Dept. of State Travel Website is the authoritative federal source for information on the security situation at travel destinations worldwide.

Active USGOV Travel Notices

Active USGOV Travel Advisories

Other USGOV Travel Resources

Smart Traveler Enrollment Program (STEP) - Registering your overseas trip with the Department of State STEP program allows you to receive information from the Embassy about safety conditions in your destination country, helping you make informed decisions about your travel plans.

Overseas Security Advisory Council (OSAC) - Joining OSAC provides a variety of USGOV resources to enhance the safety and security of the U.S. private sector businesses and organizations operating abroad.

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) - The CDC travel website is the authoritative federal source for information on current health issues related to specific destinations worldwide. These issues may arise from disease outbreaks, special events or gatherings, natural disasters, or other conditions that may affect travelers’ health.

Foreign Sources of Travel Guidance

See what other governments are telling their own citizens about the safety and security aspects of your destination.



Take Advantage of These Resources

Our social media channels provide a steady steam of important news and resources between issues of Threat Journal with little or no overlap of content. Combined with the AlertsUSA service for instant mobile notification of the really bad developments, you have an unmatched set of tools to keep yourself fully up to speed on the nation's threat environment. With times getting worse by the day, we urge you to utilize these resources.


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Ezekiel 33:3 - "Then if anyone hears the trumpet but does not heed the warning and the sword comes and takes their life, their blood will be on their own head."

 

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